Aleksander Chayka vs Sergio Planella Hernandez Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the past six months, Sergio Planella Hernandez slightly edges out Aleksander Chayka in second serve performance, winning 42.52% of points compared to Chayka's 41.33%. How might this affect their upcoming match?
• Returning opponents' serves, Hernandez shows a significant advantage on second serve returns with 51.71% success, while Chayka achieves 44.57%. For first serve returns, Hernandez leads minimally with 29.58% over Chayka's 28.77%.
• Under pressure, Chayka boasts a stronger breakpoint saving ability at 58.54% compared to Hernandez's 53.21%, which could be critical in tight moments.
• Looking back at the past year, Chayka has had a more successful year, winning 58.93% of his matches, whereas Hernandez has managed 47.37%.
• Chayka's favored surface is indoor hard, achieving a 60% win rate, while Hernandez excels on clay, also with a 60% win rate. Both have a weaker performance on hard courts.
• Both players predominantly compete at Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K level, though Chayka has a slightly higher win percentage of 58.93% compared to Hernandez's 50.00%.
• Chayka has faced tougher competition over the past year, with an average opponent ranking of 208.79 versus Hernandez's average opponent ranking of 337.74.
• In deciding sets, Chayka demonstrates a commanding edge, winning 67% of these sets in the last 12 months, while Hernandez has only secured 20%.
• Recently, Hernandez edges slightly in breakpoint conversion, converting 39.22% of opportunities compared to Chayka's 38.60%.

Editorial Prediction (November 26, 2025, UTC):

Both players enter the match with distinct strengths and weaknesses, making it a fascinating matchup. Hernandez exhibits a small edge in current serving stats and break-point conversions, indicative of tactical strengths.

However, Chayka's superior return statistics under pressure and past courtroom success reflects his potential to handle crucial points more effectively. His ability to perform against better-ranked opponents further highlights his readiness for high-pressure situations.

With Chayka's decisive success rate in third sets, he likely possesses the mental edge needed in tight contests. Combined with his overall winning percentage over the last year, this positions him as the probable victor in this encounter.

Thus, based on these factors, Aleksander Chayka is projected to have the upper hand and is favored to win this clash.